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2003 Southern California Fire Assessments: Fire Threat Tables

Fire Threat is a composite index of expected fire probability and expected fire behavior, derived from mapped data on fuels, topography, and fire rotation.

Disclaimer

FRAP/RSL make no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy of data or maps. In particular, data relating to recently burned areas reflect generalized perimeters and represent coarse, preliminary assessments of the fire perimeters, and fire sizes, and may change or not correspond to other officially reported acreage. Areas close to, or inside of the perimeters represented here may or may not have actually burned. The user will not seek to hold either the Federal or State Government, nor the US Forest Service or CDF liable under any circumstances for any damages with respect to any claim by the user or any third party on account of or arising from the use of data or maps.

See http://frap.cdf.ca.gov/data/frapgisdata/select.asp for state- and county-wide data sets of Fire Threat, along with complete metadata. Also see http://frap.cdf.ca.gov/assessment2003/Assessment_Summary/forest_health_300.pdf for a statewide summary of fire threat.

Map of Fire Perimeters Overlaid on Fire Threat (1,736 Kb)

October 2003 Southern California Fires

Fire Little or None Moderate High Very High Extreme All
Cedar 10,833 7,717 15,699 126,908 112,082 273,239
Grand Prix 4,193 2,802 12,412 47,817 25,338 92,563
Mountain 116 - - 4,297 5,918 10,331
Old 1,371 205 6,627 20,569 20,908 49,681
Otay 719 10 361 35,793 7,749 44,632
Padua 10 395 2,286 3,946 3,838 10,475
Paradise 3,558 596 3,506 26,794 22,054 56,508
Piru 1,243 163 403 35,558 26,349 63,716
Roblar - - - 2,011 2,812 4,823
Simi 2,330 2,597 6,279 79,084 17,295 107,585
Verdale 37 - 2 8,256 200 8,495
All 24,412 14,485 47,575 391,034 244,543 722,049

Approximately 88% (635 thousand acres) of the burned area was in very high or extreme fire threat classes.

For more information, please contact:

Dave Sapsis
Wildland Fire Scientist
CDF Fire and Resource Assessment Program (FRAP)
PO Box 944246
Sacramento, CA 94244-2460
916.445.5369
dave.sapsis@fire.ca.gov